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MERLIN Tutorial -- QTL Regression Analysis

Quantitative trait linkage analyses examine whether a chromosomal region is responsible for some of the variation in a trait of interest. Here, we will describe how fast quantitative trait regression analyses can be carried out using MERLIN.

Data for this exercise

For this example, we will use a simulated data set that you will find in the examples subdirectory of the MERLIN distribution or in the download page.

The dataset consists of a simulated 5-cM scan of chromosome 24 in 200 sib-pair families and is organized into 3 files, a data file (asp.dat), a pedigree file (asp.ped) and a map file (asp.map). A quantitative trait has been scored for each offspring.

The recommended first step in any analysis is to verify that input files are being interpreted correctly. So let's start by running pedstats... Pedstats requires an input data file (-d parameter) and pedigree file (-p parameter):

prompt> pedstats -d asp.dat -p asp.ped

By examining the abbreviated pedstats output below, you should be able to confirm that there are 200 pedigrees, each with 4 individuals (two siblings and their parents). The pedigree includes a quantitative trait that has been measured on all 400 offspring but none of the founders.

Pedigree Statistics
(c) 1999-2001 Goncalo Abecasis

The following parameters are in effect:
            QTDT Pedigree File :         asp.ped (-pname)
                QTDT Data File :         asp.dat (-dname)
            Missing Value Code :         -99.999 (-xname)

PEDIGREE STRUCTURE
==================
          Individuals: 800 (400 founders, 400 nonfounders)
             Families: 200
 Average Family Sizes: 4.00
  Average Generations: 2.00

QUANTITATIVE TRAIT STATISTICS
=============================
                   [Phenotypes]      [Founders]       Mean        Var
          trait      400  50.0%        0   0.0%      0.021      1.496

AFFECTION STATISTICS
====================
                  [Diagnostics]      [Founders] Prevalence
      affection      400  50.0%        0   0.0%     100.0%
          Total      400  50.0%        0   0.0%

MARKER GENOTYPE STATISTICS
==========================
                    [Genotypes]      [Founders]     Hetero
           MRK1      400  50.0%        0   0.0%      72.8%
           MRK2      400  50.0%        0   0.0%      73.2%
        (...statistics for other markers would appear here...)
          Total     8000  50.0%        0   0.0%      74.1%

The most popular method of quantitative trait linkage is the Haseman-Elston (1972) procedure where squared trait differences for sib-pairs are regressed on IBD allele-sharing. If a gene in the region being investigate influences trait levels, sib-pairs who share more alleles are expected to show similar phenotypes and, therefore, smaller squared trait differences.

Pedigree-Wide Regression Analysis

The flexibility of the method of Haseman and Elston has lead many authors to propose enhancements and extensions. Sham et al. (2002) have recently described a regression-based procedure for linkage analysis that uses trait-squared sums and differences to predict IBD sharing between any non-inbred relative pairs. This method is implemented in the MERLIN-REGRESS program, included in the merlin distribution. The method of Sham et al. can be applied to selected samples but requires specification of the trait distribution parameters in the general population.

Analysing a single trait

To run MERLIN-REGRESS, we will need to specify the input data(-d parameter), pedigree (-p parameter) and map (-m parameter) file names. In addition, we will need to specify the trait distribution parameters (--mean, --variance and --heritability options). In this case, we will assume that the trait of interest has mean=0.0, variance=1.5 and heritability=80% in the general population:

prompt> merlin-regress -d asp.dat -p asp.ped -m asp.map --mean 0.0 --var 1.5 --her 0.8

After running the command, you should first see the familiar MERLIN banner and a summary of currently selected options:

MERLIN 0.9.1 - (c) 2000-2002 Goncalo Abecasis

The following parameters are in effect:
                     Data File :         asp.dat (-dname)
                 Pedigree File :         asp.ped (-pname)
            Missing Value Code :         -99.999 (-xname)
                      Map File :         asp.map (-mname)
            Allele Frequencies : ALL INDIVIDUALS (-f[a|e|f|file])
                   Random Seed :          123456 (-r9999)

Regression Analysis Options
     Trait Model : --mean [0.00], --variance [1.50], --heritability [0.80]
   Recombination : --zero, --one, --two, --three, --singlepoint
       Positions : --steps, --maxStep, --minStep, --grid, --start, --stop
          Limits : --bits [24], --megabytes, --minutes
          Output : --quiet, --markerNames
          Others : --simulate, --swap, --rankFamilies

Estimating allele frequencies... [using all genotypes]
   MRK1 MRK2 MRK3 MRK4 MRK5 MRK6 MRK7 MRK8 MRK9 MRK10 MRK11 MRK12 MRK13 MRK14
   MRK15 MRK16 MRK17 MRK18 MRK19 MRK20

After a few moments, you should see analysis results at each location:

Pedigree-Wide Regression Analysis (Trait: trait)
======================================================
       Position      H2   Stdev    Info     LOD  pvalue
          0.000   0.406   0.192   64.8%   0.970    0.02
          5.268   0.526   0.183   71.1%   1.792   0.002
         10.536   0.598   0.182   72.1%   2.343  0.0005
         15.804   0.733   0.182   72.1%   3.520 0.00003
         21.072   0.586   0.182   72.2%   2.255  0.0006
         26.340   0.596   0.190   66.0%   2.135  0.0009
         31.608   0.535   0.189   67.0%   1.744   0.002
         36.876   0.522   0.184   70.6%   1.752   0.002
         42.144   0.414   0.181   73.0%   1.137   0.011
         47.412   0.295   0.175   77.5%   0.614    0.05
(... results continue at other locations ...)

Successive columns indicate position along the chromosome (in CM), estimated locus specific heritability, standard deviation for the estimate of locus specific heritability, proportion of linkage information extracted at this location (100% information corresponds to the smallest possible confidence interval for estimated effect size), LOD score and corresponding p-value. In this case, linkage peaks at position 15.8 with an estimated locus specific heritability of 73.3% and a LOD score of 3.52 (probability 0.00003).

Estimating family informativeness

Another useful option in MERLIN-REGRESS is the ability to quantify the expected amount of linkage information in each family. This can be useful when focusing genotyping efforts (for example, by genotyping the most informative families first) or identifying problematic outliers (extreme outliers will lead to some families with very large weights which can reduce effective sample size in linkage analyses).

To estimate family informativeness, specify the trait distribution in the population (by specifying it's mean, variance and heritability) and use the --rankFamilies option. Using the example input files the command line would read:

prompt> merlin-regress -d asp.dat -p asp.ped --mean 0 --var 1.5 --her 0.8 --rank

Running this command would produce the familiar MERLIN output screen followed by a table looking like the one below:

Family Informativeness
======================
         Family           Trait  People  Phenos   Pairs    Info  ELOD20
              1           trait       4       2       1   0.099   0.001
              2           trait       4       2       1   0.025   0.000
              3           trait       4       2       1   1.989   0.017
              4           trait       4       2       1   0.269   0.002
              5           trait       4       2       1   0.327   0.003
(... additional rows follow for other families)

Each row indicates the family and trait of interest, followed by number of individuals and phenotypes in each family, the number of phenotyped relative pairs and the relative informativeness of the family. The final column indicates the expected LOD score for a region with a locus specific heritability of 20% when a fully informative marker is typed. In this case family 3 seems particularly informative (you can try and find out why by examining the phenotypes for each individual in the asp.ped pedigree file).

Expected LOD scores are proportional to the squared locus specific heritability. To calculate expected LOD scores for a different effect size, simply multiply the expected LOD score by (heritability/20)^2, where H2 denotes your desired effect size and ^2 denotes the square operator. For example, for an effect size of 40%, you should multiply each expected LOD score by 4.

Comparing trait models and analysing multiple traits

Often multiple quantitative traits may be available in a particular dataset. Each of these traits is likely to have a distinct mean, variance and heritability in the population. The -t models_file specifies the name of a text file listing analysis models, one for each trait. Using a models table allows distinct models to be specified for each phenotype in the pedigree file.

A models table includes four columns. The first column indicates the trait name and is followed by columns indicating the trait mean, variance and heritability. Optionally, a fifth column can be included with a label for each model. Here is an example:

<sample regression models file>
TRAIT                 MEAN          VARIANCE          HERITABILITY   LABEL
Weight_Kilograms      75            10                0.63           metric_analysis
Weight_Pounds         160           40                0.63           imperial_analysis
<end of sample regression models file>

Where to go next?

Now that you know how to carry out a pedigree-wide regression analysis using MERLIN you might want to find out estimate empirical p-values using simulation, or perhaps explore the sections on error detection, linkage analysis, haplotyping or ibd estimation.

 
 

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